Tuesday, May 24, 2005

American Deaths in Iraq v. D.C.

I received this in e-mail recently. Any dispute with this analysis? Bear in mind that the numbers are a bit off: we are moving troops in and out faster than this factoid would suggest. More below.

If you consider that there has been an average of 160,000 troops in the Iraqi theater during the last 22 months, that gives a firearm death ratio of 60 per 100,000.

The firearm death ratio in DC is 80.6 per 100,000. That means that you are more likely to be shot and killed in our Nation's Capitol, which has some of the strictest gun control laws in the nation, than you are in Iraq.

Remember that our troops only serve up to a year in Iraq. So when we have 150,000 or 135,000 on the ground, that means that we actually have run through 270,000 different persons in 22 months. That would suggest that the actual factoid for Iraq might be closer to 35 per 100,000.

The only problem that this leaves is that more deaths are caused by explosives and IED's than by gunfire at this point. D.C. doesn't have anything comparable to IED's on a regular basis.

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