The supposed debate in the RNC's circles is whether Trump needs 1237 to win the nomination. Just another example of people who believe themselves to be smarter than they are.
Of course Trump needs 1237 to win. Why?
Because that is when all other options are over. If Trump has 1237 committed delegates, nobody else can get them.
There is no more gamesmanship by Cruz or Kasich that can be attempted.
There are no more articles to be written with different scenarios.
There are no more opinions to be offered that seem credible.
With 1237, any other answer than "Trump wins" sounds stupid.
So if Trump must have 1237, what is this about "less than 1237" can win? It is poor writing and thinking mascarading as Jack Handey's "Deep Thoughts" from Saturday Night Live of old.
These discussions are really about analyzing uncommitted delegates to vote Trump.
Right now Trump has 845 delegates on the first ballot. There are 924 delegates that are committed to other candidates or are uncommitted. After Pennsylvania, the number of uncommitted will go up substantially. New England offers around 104 delegates. Then Trump has to deal with some less favorable locations. No doubt he will leave those states with close to 949 delegates. Only 20 up on the field.
There will still be more than 300 delegates in play. He will like do well with those 300, but he will have to do overwhelming well to get to 1237.
In the meantime, we get to experience the joy of simple minds writing overwrought logic. Lovely . . . .
